Posts Tagged ‘Elections’

NN&V: e-Interview with Brian Sandoval

By Elizabeth Crum | 12:35 pm April 9th, 2010

If you are not aware of it, Nevada News & Views (NNV) conducts and publishes weekly e-interviews (done by email) with candidates for public office.  No commentary, just questions and answers.

It affords the candidates the opportunity to really showcase their positions on issues.  In some cases, though, there is still some question-dodging, which is never more evident than when right there in black and white.

The published interviews are great resources from which journalists can grab quotes and voters can form opinions.

Here’s this week’s, with gubernatorial Brian Sandoval.

Smooth Stylings from Harry Reid’s Magic Bus Tour

By Elizabeth Crum | 12:00 pm April 7th, 2010

Every day I get in the queue (Too much, the Magic Bus)

To get on the bus that takes me to you (Too much, the Magic Bus)

. . .

I want it, I want it, I want it, I want it …

. . .

Geoff Dornan at the Nevada Appeal has a good write-up on Harry Reid’s Carson City stop on yesterday’s leg of a 3-day campaign bus tour.  Here are a few snippets:

Sen. Harry Reid made it clear Tuesday he believes he can and will win in November despite polls showing him trailing his major Republican competitors.

“If the election were held today, I’d win,” he said during an interview on his rural tour bus between stops in Minden and Carson City.

That quote set off a flurry of Tweets by Nevada media types. Here are a few:

Ralston — Reid: “If the election were held today, I’d win.” Sometimes he says goofy or intemperate stuff. Rarely flat-out false. http://bit.ly/bKmjMf

Ralston — Even most ardent Reid backer does not believe he would win 2day. Are other ballot choices threat to GOP? Of course. But not today. #reidisms

Sebelius — @RalstonFlash You know, Einstein theorized there were other dimensions. Perhaps Reid was talking about winning in one of them, not our own?

Me — @RalstonFlash @SteveSebelius You guys are so mean. Poor Harry can’t even enjoy a little (ok, a lot of) wishful thinking on his own bus tour.

Ralston — @stevesebelius @elizcrum Bus tour euphoria/alternate dimension theories possible. My guess: Reid believes it because he has to. #notdeadyet

Reid also had a quip about his chances due to the general election ballot being so laden with candidates (eight:  Reid, the GOP primary winner, four independents, an IAP candidate and the Tea Party candidate):

“Do the math.”

Does one bus tour plus a determined (deluded?) Senator plus the cross-chatter of seven other candidates (and their followers) equal a Reid victory?

Who can say?

The New Help-Rory-by-Way-of-Helping-Gibbons-by-Way-of-Criticizing-Sandoval Ad Campaign

By Elizabeth Crum | 11:50 am April 6th, 2010

As Flashed by Ralston earlier, we will soon see the launch of a “campaign that could fundamentally change the dynamic of the GOP governor’s race.”

According to Democratic uber-strategist Dan Hart, with whom I spoke a few moments ago, “The Committee to Protect Nevada Jobs” is slated to launch an independent expenditure TV campaign that will “keep Nevada’s voters well informed” about their gubernatorial candidates.

Ralston reported that the campaign will be critical of GOP gubernatorial candidate Brian Sandoval in order to help Jim Gibbons win the primary so Rory Reid will (presumably) have a better chance to win the general.

But Hart said the campaign “may also include information sharing about other gubernatorial candidates” and that “it should not be assumed this is an anti-Sandoval campaign, per se.”  Hart confirmed that TV ads will begin running next week and said the committee’s website will also launch at that time. And that we can expect various press releases as well.

My three cents:

Sandoval is still not well known by many voters so there is definitely an opportunity for the opposition to define him.  Team Sandoval probably should have seen this coming and gotten out in front by launching some warm and fuzzy get-to-know-Brian ads about 30 days back.

Too late for that now, but Sandoval is finally going up with his first TV ad this week.

As for whether this new committee will really “share information” about non-Sandoval gubernatorial candidates — we’ll see.  With Dan Hart, one of Nevada’s sharpest Democratic strategists, behind the effort, I’d guess we can count on the campaign to target whoever the ongoing surveys are saying is most likely to beat Rory Reid in the general election.

Re-stated:  A weak GOP nominee is Rory’s only hope.

McCain Primary Challenger J.D. Hayworth Talked with Media at Nevada News Bureau Newsmakers Briefing

By Elizabeth Crum | 10:12 am April 6th, 2010

John McCain’s primary challenger, JD Hayworth, was in town Friday for various appearances including a segment with Alan Stock at KXNT, a segment with Neil Cavuto on Fox News, two segments on Ralston’s Face to Face, a Nevada News Bureau Newsmakers briefing with print and radio media types as well as some bloggers, and an evening shin-dig attended by 500+ (First Friday Happy Hour).

City Life editor and KLAS political analyst Steve Sebelius of Slash Politics has a good write up from the Newsmakers briefing here.

Mark Ciavola of RightPride chooses his horse here.

Blogger and part-time Nevada News Bureau contributing writer Mike Chamberlain asks whether JD can beat “the Maverick” here.

And Eric Odom, who also attended the briefing, had already endorsed Hayworth (via Liberty First PAC) here.

My own quick notes and asides:

– At last poll by Rasmussen, Hayworth was running within 5 points of McCain. And he came out of his March moneybomb having raised $1 million+ for his race. That’s big news, Dear Readers.

– I think this is the most interesting Senate race in the country (right after the Harry Reid race, of course!)  The GOP’s 2008 presidential candidate is vulnerable to an ex-Congressman (by way of electoral defeat) turned talk radio host turned senatorial candidate.  Will McCain’s often questioned conservative creds and the nobody-likes-a-loser effect help spur Hayworth to victory?  Hayworth said in our briefing that he is banking on “McCain fatigue” along with the fact that nearly 2/3rds of voters say McCain doesn’t reliably represent their conservative values

– Hayworth referenced a recent Politico piece that talked about McCain’s “scorched earth” campaign against him.  And told me (earlier in the day) that he’s been amazed to see Team McCain being more aggressive and negative against him than they ever were against Obama in the 2008 presidential election. He said, “That tells you just about everything you need to know about the politics of John McCain.”

– On the issues, Hayworth talked immigration reform, a pet issue of his.  (He wrote a book on immigration reform in 2005 titled Whatever It Takes: Illegal Immigration, Border Security and the War on Terror.)  When asked by a blogger whether immigration reform isn’t traditionally more of a money-raising tool than a vote-moving issue, Hayworth said, “Not this time. This time, I think it’s different.”  Hayworth touted enforcing existing immigration laws and talked with conviction about how the country finds itself in the current mess:  “When you decide not to enforce the law, you set up so many problems.”

– When gay conservative activist Mark Ciavola, head of the group Right Pride, asked Hayworth about a controversial and much-talked-about gay marriage comment he’d made earlier this month — “I mean, I don’t mean to be absurd about it, but I guess I can make the point of absurdity with an absurd point. I guess that would mean if you really had affection for your horse, I guess you could marry your horse” — Hayworth acknowledged it was not the best thing to say. He said it was “stupid, from the standpoint that it opens me to all sorts of ridicule and it screws up the message I’m trying to give” and added that it was “counter-productive.”  He then reiterated his position on upholding the definition of traditional man-woman marriage — and in answer to questions about whether gay marriage shouldn’t perhaps be a states’ rights issue, said he supports a federal marriage amendment.

– On health care, Hayworth said conservative senators didn’t do as much as they should have to hold up or stop the bill. He said he’s signed the new Club for Growth pledge committing himself to try to repeal the health-care bill, and that forcing Americans to purchase health insurance is unconstitutional.

– When asked (by me) what past political actions he most regrets, Hayworth mentioned various instances of supporting spending and appropriations when he was in Congress.  In short, his votes for pork.

– Re: criticisms of him re: the Abramoff affair, Hayworth laughed it off and said the establishment of his legal defense fund in that matter was pretty much standard procedure in such instances.  “My wife and I, we are not wealthy. We’re regular people. There were tremendous costs, so it was necessary.”

– I’ll be watching this race with great interest, Dear Readers, and will post campaign updates as they come in.

John Chachas TV Ads to Start This Week

By Elizabeth Crum | 9:23 pm March 28th, 2010

U.S. Senate candidate John Chachas will be up with two TV ads this week (per Ralston a few minutes ago).  One stresses that he’s Nevada born and bred, and one focuses on Nevada’s financial troubles and his ability to fix them due to his business (not political) experience.

I Think We Can All Stop Talking About “Tea Party of Nevada” Jon Scott Ashjian Now (Updated on 3/29/10)

By Elizabeth Crum | 5:04 pm March 26th, 2010

Well, it sure has been fun to follow this whole story — conspiracy theories and Tea Party disavowals and political talk shows and all — but there was never nearly enough evidence to seriously suspect Scott Ashjian was a pawn in some Machiavellian plot to milk votes from the GOP and get Harry Reid re-elected, and now there is plenty of evidence to the contrary:

Ashjian lost his contractor’s license last Wednesday due to passing a bad check to a supplier from his now out-of-business asphalt company, is facing pending foreclosure on a number of home mortgages as well as a $200K IRS and other liens…and now faces a felony indictment for bouncing a $5,000 business check last year (as reported by the AP).

Ashjian could face up to 14 years in state prison if convicted, although I imagine they’ll give him a chance to make good on the debt assuming he has no priors.

I’d joke that he could try to shoot for a Senate seat again when he gets out of the slammer, but a felony conviction would prohibit him from running for office.

Even if the charges don’t stick, this guy has so much baggage that he doesn’t stand a snowball’s chance in Searchlight of winning anything except maybe a–

No, never mind. Anything I would say there would be very funny but also kinda mean, and I don’t like to kick a man (too hard) when he’s down.

I wish Mr. Ashjian the best with his troubles, but as they say when you’re all done flying the friendly skies:

Buh-bye now.

Update (Monday 4:32 p.m.): Clarification:  As I said on KTNV (Channel 13) today in comments to air in the 5:00 hour, IF Ashjian should avoid conviction, stay in the race and gain some traction there IS still a teeny-weeny chance he could siphon enough votes from the GOP candidate to influence November’s election results — IF the gap between Harry Reid and his GOP opponent closes to small single-digits.  Ashjian’s slim chances are getting slimmer with each passing day, but if he stays out of prison it’s not (yet) beyond the realm of possibility that his candidacy could still be an issue.  Much will hinge on the outcome of this felony arrest/indictment — and if he can escape that, then:  on how many “hearts and minds” he can win ‘twixt now and election day.

To my little eye, it ain’t lookin’ too good for him — which means all the GOP candidates can breathe a little easier.

Update (Saturday 4/3/10): Just in case you are reading this post for the first time and have not yet read this more recent post about Ashjian, it turns out he did not “bounce” but instead stopped payment on that $5,000 check (he says when he found out the contractor to whom it had been sent was not licensed to do business in the state of Nevada). And he is mightily miffed that the the Deputy DA at the Bad Check Division said otherwise. And that the media reported last week an arrest warrant had been issued for him. And that the entire world is conspiring to ruin him. Go read that more recent post for all the details. It’s quite something.

A Look at GOP U.S. Senate Candidate Endorsements Thus Far

By Elizabeth Crum | 4:04 pm March 26th, 2010

Here’s what I have on endorsements of Republican hopefuls in the race-to-beat-Harry-Reid so far:

(Note:  This is not an exhaustive list for all candidates. I will post updates as I find them or as campaign staffers politely email to inform me of my oversight.)(Ha!)

– Jeri Thompson, wife of former Senator and 2008 presidential candidate Fred Thompson, today endorsed U.S. Senate Candidate Sue Lowden via a column in American Spectator online.

– Lowden also has a fundraiser luncheon on deck (see here: Lowden_Fundraiser_Invite) that features former Thune campaign manager Dick Wadhams and lists supporters including:  Bill and Dale Raggio, Assembly Minority Leader Heidi Gansert, Senator Randolph Townsend, former Congresswoman Barbara Vucanovich, former Governor Bob List and Mayor Bob Cashell, among others.

– Sarah Palin’s dad endorsed Tarkanian earlier this month (on/around March 15).

– Erick Erickson of RedState fame had endorsed Danny Tarkanian on February 28. (Lowden had expressed surprise when told about that endorsement, saying, “Well, I don’t know Erick and have never even talked to him, so I’m a little surprised by that.”)

– Former Michigan GOP chair and RNC chair candidate Saul Anuzis endorsed Lowden in a column cross-posted at both the Spectator and The Corner on National Review Online on February 5.

(Note:  I get daily calls and emails from out of state people asking “who can beat Harry Reid” and “who do you like?”  For the record, the Nevada News Bureau does not endorse candidates, and neither do I.)

A Little Tea Party Bird Told Me…

By Elizabeth Crum | 9:50 am March 22nd, 2010

Three reliable sources have told me there will be News later today re: the legality of the candidacy of U.S. Senate hopeful Jon Scott Ashjian (not related to a failed attempt last week to challenge party petition signatures).  I’m making calls and gathering details and documents and will post later when I’ve got it all verified.  Preliminary research shows there may be some legal teeth here – and either way, there will be some political fallout – so this could get interesting.

Stand by…

Update: A media friend points out that JLS at the LVRJ beat me to the pre-scoop Scoop over the weekend.  Apparently I’m a mere afterthought for my tea party and conservative grassroots sources.  Sad…

Face to Face: Dina Titus Answers Questions About Her Vote for House Health Care Bill

By Elizabeth Crum | 6:45 pm March 19th, 2010

Ralston tonight interviewed Dina Titus on her Yes health care vote, as follows:

Q:  A few days ago you were undecided. What got you off the fence, specifically?

A:  Two things: I was waiting for the CBO figures, and they show that this is going to save even more money than anticipated and bring down the deficit. And second, a lot of the things I was concerned about in the Senate bill are fixed by the new compromise.  They’ve done away with the special deals for certain states. They’ve adjusted the tax on benefits so it doesn’t kick in to 2018, and the cap is much higher.  They’ve spread the reforms to more people, so now they cover everybody who has an insurance policy for things like protections against caps, protections against taking away the policy, protections for pre-existing conditions.

Q:  There have been a lot of people who said you were just faking it, that you really were going to vote for it the whole time, that this was all an act.  Did you get any last minute arm-twisting?

A:  No, absolutely not. People honored my wishes, which was to do my homework and get the information. I did not hear from the President. I did not go see the Speaker. I got a lot of phone calls and those are the people I listened to, not the million dollars’ worth of insurance company ads.

Q:  That is interesting, because I think you are going to have a tough time explaining to your constituents how a bill spends $940 billion – and that’s the low end – amd maybe over a trillion to get health care done, yet reduces the deficit and is not going to hurt Medicare. Do you think you can explain that?

A:  I do. I think we don’t need to go into all the details, because people don’t want to hear that, and we need take a lesson, to keep it simple. Now, it’s unfortunate that the bill was 2,000 pages long. It should have been 10 pages like the Constitution.  When they see the things that go into effect right away, like children staying on their parent’s policies until age 26, small businesses getting those tax cuts right now so they can provide health insurance for their employee, no pre-existing conditions – those are the kinds of things that I think people will feel and will understand and that will make a difference.

Q:  It may indeed help small business – I have heard that argument – but there are also provisions in there for larger businesses over 50 employees who get this subsidy from the government, and they can face penalties. That can be disincentive to hiring, no?

A:  I don’t think so. Most of the businesses I talk to want to provide insurance for their employees. It’s a great recruiting too. They want to be able to do it; they just can’t afford it. That’s one of the reasons we need this bill, because families can’t sustain it, businesses can’t compete with in the global economy if they don’t have it, and government needs to bring down those costs over time, too, because Medicare, Medicaid, those are very expensive.

Q:  You know that was a lot of pages for you to read in between the time you got the bill and you made your decision.  You sure this wasn’t just a ruse? You didn’t read all 2,000 pages again did you?

A:  I’ll say it one more time, Jon. I wanted to get the bill in front of me. I wanted to do my homework, and its’ not as difficult as you might imagine because a lot of the bill stays the same, it’s the changes that are really important to focus on and study.

Q:  You know I might not be the best person to ask this question since I once declared your career over, but the epitaphs for Dina Titus have been pouring in since this, where your friends over at the Republican Congressional Campaign Committee have said, she’s walked the plank, her career’s over. The publisher of a large newspaper here said the voters are going to vote you out of office in November.  Is this really an important enough thing to lose your seat over?

A:  You know what, I think the election is a long time away, and there are other issues bedsides health care that we’ve been working on, like foreclosures, and we gotta create some jobs, and we gotta create renewable energy — but this isn’t about politics, this is about policy, and I believe there are things more important than re-election, and that’s why I listened to folks in the District, not to these special interests who are running these ads and doing these polls.  This is the health care of the American people.

Q:  What about the obligation that leaders of a political party have to educate the public? Are you going to take that up yourself, are the Democrats going to be able to do that, to say why this bill is a good thing and change those poll numbers by November? You have to do that, right?

A: Well, I’m doing it right now, Jon.  And I’ve been doing it for a year. I’ve always said we need reform. And if you think about it, I’ve done about a dozen Congress on the Corners. I’ve done about a half a dozen telephone town halls. We’ve done public hearings. We’ve answered over 90,000 letters, telephone calls, emails.  We are getting that information out. And we are telling people the truth and giving them the facts, not using scare tactics like using death panels and those kinds of emotional things and misguided information like is coming from the other side and the insurance companies.

Sharron Angle: Movin’ On Up?

By Elizabeth Crum | 7:37 pm March 17th, 2010

Via press release today:

ANGLE Moves Into 2nd On Ralston Odds Board

Friends of Sharron Angle,

Jon Ralston of the Las Vegas Sun moved our campaign ahead of Danny Tarkanian in his latest handicapping of the Senate race today! Obviously, Ralston has his ear to the ground and can hear the momentum building for the true conservative in this contest. Check out Jon Ralston’s column here:

http://www.lasvegassun.com/news/2010/mar/15/how-gop-numbers-add-primary/

In his column, Ralston reassessed odds (from September) in our two major races.  In the US Senate GOP primary, he dropped Lowden from 3-to-1 to 5-1 due to Reid’s daily attacks and a few recent campaign hiccups including a misstatement about a past vote she had to correct.  Angle moved up from 8-to-1 to 6-1, prompting her elation today.  Tarkanian switched spots with Angle so is at 8-to-1 vs. his prior chance of 6-1.  Chachas is at 10-1 and Christensen is at 15-1; longshots both.  As for the nine other candidates, at between 25-to-1 and 100-to-1, Ralston was more generous than I would have been.  In the general election, he’s got Reid at even money with whoever wins the GOP nomination.

I think he’s got it about right.  Although I might have put Lowden at 4-to-1.  And I think Christensen’s odds are very slim indeed (and cannot understand why he didn’t stick with a state senate run).

In the gubertorial primary, Ralston put Sandoval  at 2.5-1, up from 1.5-1 in September.  Gibbons is at 5-1, up from from 7-1.  And Montandon is at 20-1, from 3-1.  Once the primary dust settles and we move into the general, Sandoval is favored 2-1, Gibbons loses, and Montandon wins by a little (maybe).

Agree.  And think it’s notable that a guy with such a slim shot to win the GOP primary can still probably beat Rory Reid.

The Entire World is Invited to a Conference Call with John Chachas

By Elizabeth Crum | 6:09 pm March 17th, 2010

No, no, just kidding.  “Interested Nevadans” only.  But there is room for “thousands” of you:

For Immediate Release:

Contact: Camden Hubbard — (702) 249-6200

U.S. Senate Candidate John Chachas to Host Mass Conference Call

WHAT: John Chachas, U.S. Senate Candidate for Nevada, will provide a live campaign update and take a few questions.

All interested Nevadans are invited to participate.

WHEN: Friday, March 19, 2010 at 1 p.m.

The call is expected to last 10 minutes

HOW: Southern Nevada (702) 576-0407

Northern Nevada (775) 473-9330

To enter the conference call, the caller should dial one of the numbers listed above and key in access code 642909#

Other than long distance phone fees that may apply, there is no cost to participate.

There is room for thousands of people on the call. Participants are selected on a first-come, first-serve basis.

Ten minutes!  Everybody talk fast.

New Sandoval Radio Ad: Do you remember a time we weren’t embarrassed…?

By Elizabeth Crum | 11:20 am March 16th, 2010

Here’s the new Brian Sandoval radio ad, complete with happy tip-toe-through-the-tulips background music that kicks in as the following words are uttered (and Sandoval’s name is first mentioned):

“Do you remember a time when we weren’t embarrassed?  A time when honor and integrity were the rule, not the exception.  It can be that way again…”

Question:  Is the ad talking about Jim Gibbons, John Ensign, or both?  And is this the closest we’ll come to hearing a Republican call a fellow Republican on the carpet this campaign season?

My Blog Post Comment Can Beat Up Your Blog Post Comment

By Elizabeth Crum | 3:37 pm March 15th, 2010

Forgot to post this link at American Spectator last week when Ralston first pointed it out last week.  It’s a quick blog post about the he-said/she-said on various issues between the Lowden and Tarkanian camps plus a cut-and-paste of some Muthservations.  But the really good stuff is in the Comments.  High entertainment value!

Text of New Sharron Angle Radio Ad

By Elizabeth Crum | 3:23 pm March 14th, 2010

Here’s the text of the Angle radio ad that will start running next week:

YOU KNOW, AFTER BERNIE MADOFF STOLE MILLIONS FROM INVESTORS, HE WENT TO JAIL.

BUT AFTER WALL STREET BANKERS STOLE TRILLIONS FROM TAXPAYERS, THEY GAVE THEMSELVES A BONUS.

THAT’S WRONG.

I’M SHARRON ANGLE, THE CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE FOR US SENATE.

AND ON SATURDAY, MARCH 27, I’LL BE JOINING THOUSANDS OF FELLOW PATRIOTS IN SEARCHLIGHT TO LET HARRY REID AND THE REST OF THE POLITICIANS KNOW WE’RE TAKING OUR COUNTRY BACK.

WASHINGTON AND WALL STREET DON’T SEEM TO UNDERSTAND SOMETHING EVERY NEVADA FAMILY KNOWS: YOU CAN’T BORROW YOUR WAY OUT OF DEBT AND YOU CAN’T SPEND YOUR WAY TO PROSPERITY.

ON MARCH 27 IN SEARCHLIGHT, WE’RE GOING TO LET THEM KNOW THAT LOWER TAXES, LESS GOVERNMENT AND MORE FREEDOM ARE MORE THAN JUST WORDS – THEY’RE PRINCIPLES.

AND OUR CONSTITUTION ISN’T JUST A DOCUMENT – IT’S THE LAW.

SO I’LL SEE YOU IN SEARCHLIGHT AND AT SHARRONANGLE.COM.

I’M SHARRON ANGLE AND I APPROVE THIS MESSAGE BECAUSE THE NEEDS OF MAIN STREET OUTWEIGH THE DEMANDS OF WALL STREET.

Secretary of State Candidate Rob Lauer Under Investigation

By Elizabeth Crum | 3:14 pm March 14th, 2010

Spillman at the LVRJ has the scoop I heard whispers about on Friday (in relation to various reasons why GOP leaders might be encouraging Craig Lake to jump into the Secretary of State race).  Probably not good:

Legal trouble has dogged the sole Republican candidate for secretary of state of Nevada, who is being sued in Las Vegas and Southern California and was arrested in Florida on a theft charge.

Much of the trouble stems from claims that the candidate, Rob Lauer, ripped off a couple of customers purchasing aircraft from him over eBay.

Lauer denies any wrongdoing.

“I’ve probably bought and sold dozens and dozens of aircraft and trucks and engines and all sorts of stuff. Probably 100,” the 39-year-old candidate said. “If we have a dispute over one aircraft or two, I don’t think that is unrealistic in business nowadays.”

Read the rest.  The California case is scheduled for trial June 21 in San Bernardino County Superior Court.

We’ll see.  Innocent until proven guilty and all that.

Since no other GOPer filed in the SOS race, Lauer will/would jump straight to the November general election to face Democratic incumbent Ross Miller.